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To help meet Europe's growing demand for green hydrogen, governments and private investors have increasingly turned their attention to Africa. The continent’s abundance of sun and wind, especially along its coastal regions, appears ideal for producing green hydrogen—hydrogen generated through electrolysis powered by renewable energy. However, a recent study led by the Technical University of Munich (TUM), published in Nature Energy, reveals that the cost of financing such facilities in Africa is significantly higher than previously assumed. After analyzing roughly 10,000 potential production sites across the continent, the study found that only 2% would be cost-competitive for exports to Europe—provided they receive strong support through price and offtake guarantees from European governments.
The study explored four scenarios involving variations in interest rates and investment risk distribution. It found that under current conditions, the cost of capital for operators ranges between 8% and 27%, far higher than the previously assumed 4% to 8%.
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